Donald Trump’s path to victory in the 2016 presidential election is increasingly narrow. Trump is increasingly unpopular with a huge swath of American voters. White men are his redoubt of support. Statistician and pundit Nate Silver highlighted this on his website FiveThirtyEight. He wrote:
If men were the only voters, conversely, we’d have to subtract 10 points from Clinton’s current margin in every state — which would yield an awfully red map. Trump would win everything that could plausibly be called a swing state, with Clinton hanging on only to the West Coast, parts of the Northeast, Illinois and New Mexico. That would yield 350 electoral votes for Trump to 188 for Clinton. . . . But it seems fair to say that, if Trump loses the election, it will be because women voted against him.
Donald Trump’s son was enthusiastic about Trump’s support among men and an alternate reality where only men could vote for president of the United States. By now you know that Trump’s basket of human deplorables responded on cue with a social-media campaign advocating that the 19th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution be repealed.
This is not a harmless online meme or joke. It is also not political satire. “#RepealThe19th” is another insight into the political vision and worldview that animates Trump and the millions of Republicans and other voters who have flocked to his banner.
Today’s Republican Party is not “conservative.” Conservatism is prefaced on respect for standing norms and priors, existing political and cultural institutions and is weary of sudden social change. Since the Clinton administration and through to the age of Obama, the Republican Party has become increasingly radical — disregarding the consensus politics and respect for political precedent and tradition that has guided the modern two-party political system in the United States for more than 100 years.
The Republican Party is also revanchist. Its leaders and base are fighting to return the United States to some of the darkest parts of our past. Donald Trump and his movement are the extreme outcome of this yearning: Their slogan “Make America Great Again” is in many ways a war on progress and the 21st century.
Among the ways in which they seek to take us back in time are the following:
Trump loyalists are moving to revoke women’s right to vote, which was granted with the passing of the 19th Amendment in 1920.
Donald Trump talks about an urban hellscape, “law and order politics” and the “silent majority,” parroting anti-black Nixonian rhetoric from the 1960s and 1970s.
Donald Trump wants to create a gestapo-like force that will immediately and forcibly deport more than 10 million “illegal immigrants” on the day he takes over the White House. This is the infamous “Operation Wetback” from 1954 reincarnated for the year 2016.
Trump wants to end birthright citizenship. This would require changing the Constitution and overturning a legal precedent that was set by the Supreme Court in 1898.
He has promised to ban Muslims from entering the United States. Race- and nationality-based immigration quotas to the United States were ended in 1965.
Trump and other Republicans want to take away a woman’s right to reproductive freedom. The landmark Supreme Court case Roe v. Wade was decided in 1973.
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